newlife001
0x462abaf10191d932f6f6211592f3b9aed61ddd0a
- Realised P&L
- $264.15
- Volume
- $51.1k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $59.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.994 | 0.992 | $24.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.976 | 0.987 | $15.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $14.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? · No | 0.992 | 0.988 | $3.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.40at 0.520Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss
- +$15.96at 0.430Knicks vs. Heat
- +$1.21at 0.951Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.08at 0.785Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.02at 0.570Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 13:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 13:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9939999776 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 01:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.00 |
| 09-21 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9699999973 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 08:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9909999836 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 02:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.9799998236 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 03:41 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $12.00 |
| 06-26 02:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9899998099 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 02:34 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $7.00 |
| 06-26 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |