PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x46299c4a802b966bc018ac3864e19D1365988541-1767683738667

0x46299c4a802b966bc018ac3864e19d1365988541

Realised P&L
$-421.71
Volume
$24.1k
Markets traded
495
Open portfolio
$8.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded495
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.5900.575$7.47−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2? · Yes0.0290.020$0.60−$0.27
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1? · Yes0.0090.003$0.07−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 1? · Yes0.0050.001$0.05−$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? · Yes0.0060.001$0.03−$0.33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 30? · Yes0.0080.001$0.01−$0.23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1? · Yes0.1200.001$0.01−$1.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? · Yes0.2400.001$0.01−$3.59
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 31? · Yes0.1480.001$0.01−$1.48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1? · Yes0.0300.001$0.01−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$7.69
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23? · No0.9330.000$0.00−$18.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.59$7.67
11-02 01:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?SELL0.33$4.95
11-02 00:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?SELL0.001$0.01
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?SELL0.06$0.60
11-01 06:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?SELL0.004$0.06
10-31 05:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?SELL0.09$1.35
10-30 14:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?SELL0.99$19.80
10-30 04:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 30?SELL0.01$0.20
10-30 04:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?SELL0.06$0.18
10-30 03:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?SELL0.14$2.38
10-29 08:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?SELL0.88$3.52
10-29 08:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?SELL0.998$20.46
10-29 04:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?SELL0.11$2.20
10-29 03:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?SELL0.25$2.50
10-29 03:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?SELL0.011$0.16