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Traders

townsendronald

0x461c8d55d1ac61db389b8404f804ce08428feb36

Realised P&L
$-46.24
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$21.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.6800.590$13.77$2.10
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5800.515$7.86$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.6799999949$15.87
09-17 23:59Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.5801666396$8.85
01-31 13:44Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.997$5.00
01-30 15:07Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?BUY0.999$4.73
01-30 15:07Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$8.01
01-30 12:31Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.99$18.66
01-30 12:31Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$36.41
12-30 01:23Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?BUY0.998$7.31
12-30 00:36Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.999$12.95
12-30 00:02Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?BUY0.999$8.60
12-29 19:31Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.9979999749$37.44
10-30 22:22Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$16.62
10-30 20:11Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?BUY0.998$17.90
09-29 17:52Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$13.75
09-29 10:12Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.999$11.49
Trader townsendronald · PolyBot Pro