leonidasdel
0x461bbd434ae91e7a1a33fd4c7a0f2a0314d44b77
- Realised P&L
- $-55.32
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $22.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.750 | 0.963 | $19.25 | +$4.25 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.594 | 0.094 | $3.17 | −$16.83 |
| Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.63 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.89 |
| Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.42 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 18:41 | Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5937322177 | $20.00 |
| 05-14 18:26 | Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 18:18 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.0277543805 | $0.89 |
| 05-14 06:23 | Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999947 | $18.63 |
| 05-14 06:20 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 06-09 10:40 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.022 | $33.42 |