Murrasan
0x461a08c1d5db1bbebce86ca3d856fd71c646fc0d
- Realised P&L
- $28.42
- Volume
- $337.97
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $60.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.425 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.815 | $9.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.515 | $5.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.665 | $5.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.755 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.515 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Cape Verde win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.685 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.235 | $2.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.300 | $2.73 | −$2.27 |
| Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.235 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.655 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.565 | $2.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will Benin win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.355 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $1.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.16at 0.351Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$8.00at 0.392Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?
- +$6.49at 0.442Will New Zealand win on 2026-09-27?
- +$4.34at 0.701Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?
- +$4.03at 0.667Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 08:30 | Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:30 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 08:29 | Will Cape Verde win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 08:29 | Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 08:28 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 08:28 | Will Benin win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 08:27 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 08:26 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 08:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 08:25 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 10:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.2553754837 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 10:34 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:18 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:17 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 08:14 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |