PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Murrasan

0x461a08c1d5db1bbebce86ca3d856fd71c646fc0d

Realised P&L
$28.42
Volume
$337.97
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$60.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4100.425$10.37+$0.37
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.8200.815$9.94−$0.06
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.4700.515$5.48+$0.48
Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6100.665$5.45+$0.45
Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.7500.755$5.03+$0.03
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.5200.515$4.95−$0.05
Will Cape Verde win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6800.685$3.02+$0.02
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.2550.235$2.76−$0.24
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.5500.300$2.73−$2.27
Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2200.235$2.14+$0.14
Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6400.655$2.05+$0.05
Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2800.565$2.02+$1.02
Will Benin win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.3700.355$1.92−$0.08
Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2000.185$1.85−$0.15
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2900.285$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 08:30Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-29 08:30Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
09-29 08:29Will Cape Verde win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.6799999547$3.00
09-29 08:29Will Togo win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-29 08:28Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.64$2.00
09-29 08:28Will Benin win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-29 08:27Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-29 08:26Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.75$5.00
09-29 08:26Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.8199999967$10.00
09-29 08:25Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.2$2.00
09-28 10:38Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.2553754837$3.00
09-28 10:34Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-28 08:18Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-28 08:17Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4099999984$10.00
09-28 08:14Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.549999956$5.00