nonocheeto
0x461773e82ca367d93efee90a79052e72d1f4c683
- Realised P&L
- $134.57
- Volume
- $40.8k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $37.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Flyers · Avalanche | 0.670 | 0.675 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
| Penguins vs. Utah · Utah | 0.630 | 0.625 | $9.92 | −$0.08 |
| Ducks vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.570 | 0.565 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Sharks vs. Maple Leafs · Sharks | 0.430 | 0.435 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.074 | $2.48 | −$7.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$715.84at 0.168Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$92.14at 0.140Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$79.21at 0.558Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$60.43at 0.209Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$38.01at 0.441Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 01:16 | Penguins vs. Utah | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:16 | Sharks vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 01:15 | Ducks vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:14 | Avalanche vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 23:14 | Kraken vs. Panthers | SELL | 0.09 | $2.50 |
| 10-17 18:06 | Devils vs. Capitals | SELL | 0.2881699346 | $3.53 |
| 10-17 17:09 | Penguins vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 17:03 | Penguins vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 17:02 | Oilers vs. Utah | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 17:02 | Oilers vs. Utah | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 17:01 | Bruins vs. Kings | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 17:01 | Blues vs. Predators | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 17:00 | Blues vs. Predators | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 16:59 | Stars vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 16:58 | Stars vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |