fa910
0x46164533c59b3c823ba87e0e485ab9a7afffa910
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $403.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,209
- Open portfolio
- $603.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,209
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$680.92at 0.459Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$532.71at 0.358Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$387.04at 0.170Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$374.92at 0.818No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$298.59at 0.360Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:52 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.88 |
| 09-17 23:31 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 18:23 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.9504311718 | $83.54 |
| 09-17 15:25 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.724 | $18.10 |
| 09-17 14:07 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.8306451613 | $25.75 |
| 09-17 07:20 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 00:30 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $27.99 |
| 09-16 18:47 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 17:51 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $18.85 |
| 09-16 17:10 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-16 15:58 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.41 |
| 09-16 14:35 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.58 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6562162162 | $24.28 |
| 09-16 13:49 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.05 |
| 09-16 10:29 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $32.33 |