PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fa910

0x46164533c59b3c823ba87e0e485ab9a7afffa910

Realised P&L
$5.9k
Volume
$403.1k
Markets traded
1,209
Open portfolio
$603.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,209
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3830.145$107.98$177.43
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.8120.895$100.39+$9.40
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.7450.890$81.72+$13.31
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.7700.780$39.48+$0.51
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.6890.685$34.81$0.19
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.5800.770$33.16+$8.18
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.5770.975$32.51+$13.26
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.8290.916$30.96+$2.96
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.8830.915$30.87+$1.08
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.7200.780$30.33+$2.33
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.6740.475$24.55$10.30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2960.185$19.77$11.85
Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.4700.640$12.80+$3.40
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.6600.405$9.20$5.79
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.5550.315$8.52$6.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:52Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.997$14.88
09-17 23:31Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.71$4.00
09-17 18:23Will White House post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.9504311718$83.54
09-17 15:25Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.724$18.10
09-17 14:07Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.8306451613$25.75
09-17 07:20Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.999$9.99
09-17 00:30Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.72$27.99
09-16 18:47Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.66$15.00
09-16 17:51Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.73$18.85
09-16 17:10Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.71$3.55
09-16 15:58Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.53$2.41
09-16 14:35Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.72$10.58
09-16 14:31Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.6562162162$24.28
09-16 13:49Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.38$4.05
09-16 10:29Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.61$32.33