Pranay497
0x46159ab9c4cffbec064f77f094419af98458f7db
- Realised P&L
- $-34.75
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $9.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.76at 0.039Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$9.44at 0.210Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?
- +$5.52at 0.313T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa
- +$5.02at 0.285Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?
- +$4.96at 0.110Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 17:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 05:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 05:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 03:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 03:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.34 |
| 07-13 03:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.86 |
| 07-12 16:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.11 |
| 07-11 21:46 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4449999405 | $4.00 |
| 07-11 21:45 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.2725 | $2.95 |
| 07-11 21:44 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.277499954 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 13? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |