0x46154F052a446fb80F95E6c99b19b073597CB880-1772624184943
0x46154f052a446fb80f95e6c99b19b073597cb880
- Realised P&L
- $36.68
- Volume
- $965.75
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $66.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.175 | $66.59 | +$14.32 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.00at 0.333Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:38 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1373718791 | $52.27 |
| 05-26 01:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1447976913 | $37.97 |
| 05-04 02:08 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.5699999893 | $19.80 |
| 03-16 03:32 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.999 | $144.00 |
| 03-05 01:52 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3329999957 | $48.00 |