KanaAoki
0x45fdd7c245ced5b8c16cfbc04261d32b9445dd4f
- Realised P&L
- $-6.50
- Volume
- $74.95
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.425 | $2.13 | −$0.57 |
| Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) · Knicks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.60at 0.440Thunder vs. Celtics
- +$3.61at 0.627Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
- +$-0.29at 0.420Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-19 06:45 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-21 02:52 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-31 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 19:27 | Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $6.00 |
| 05-29 15:55 | Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999835 | $6.00 |
| 05-24 21:09 | Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Criciúma EC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3799999696 | $4.00 |
| 03-25 14:30 | Thunder vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |