cornel003
0x45fca43f23da2cee56ee3acfedfc6946ea8038b3
- Realised P&L
- $24.69
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $16.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.15at 0.390Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$102.86at 0.280Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$78.75at 0.160Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$67.00at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?
- +$63.14at 0.250Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 20:21 | Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 20:21 | Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 07:43 | Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0478061893 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 20:49 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0195326027 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 20:49 | Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0421611619 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 20:48 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 20:48 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 20:48 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 20:47 | Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 20:47 | Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0382502585 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 20:47 | Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0244193894 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 20:47 | Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.021576645 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 20:47 | Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0181709632 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 08:11 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $68.04 |
| 02-23 09:32 | US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999907 | $8.00 |