sanliparaguay
0x45f6e79c4ccb96869ef186e2333c500ff7f6f6a5
- Realised P&L
- $-131.49
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $15.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.260 | $4.94 | +$0.19 |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 150 and 179 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.228 | $4.55 | −$1.45 |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.175 | $3.71 | +$0.09 |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $2.60 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.83at 0.113Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11AM ET
- +$11.83at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET
- +$10.64at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10AM ET
- +$8.76at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1PM ET
- +$8.52at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 23:31 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | SELL | 0.057379 | $1.15 |
| 10-08 23:30 | Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.181 | $3.62 |
| 10-08 23:25 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? | SELL | 0.057185 | $1.14 |
| 10-08 23:24 | Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.235 | $4.70 |
| 10-08 07:40 | XRP Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-08 07:11 | XRP Up or Down - October 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-08 06:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-07 23:12 | Solana Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-07 22:40 | XRP Up or Down - October 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $1.65 |
| 10-07 13:25 | Solana Up or Down - October 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6251908275 | $6.50 |
| 10-06 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999945 | $1.61 |
| 10-06 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $6.09 |
| 10-06 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $1.26 |
| 10-06 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $1.26 |
| 10-06 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999656 | $3.45 |