gy8g6
0x45f386c2fae906b42882c9e4a8d0c7e1b0eb216c
- Realised P&L
- $-94.35
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $63.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.04at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 17?
- +$20.84at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?
- +$14.16at 0.414Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2?
- +$13.80at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2?
- +$12.22at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-07 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.59 | $9.99 |
| 08-07 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.46 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.81 |
| 08-06 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.19 |
| 08-06 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.99 |
| 08-06 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.45 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.20 |
| 08-03 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 07-31 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.95 |