PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Amir723

0x45ed247c713e056c1682014c410da988ae7dffdc

Realised P&L
$-13.07
Volume
$501.12
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$6.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.5900.635$1.08+$0.08
Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.5400.565$1.05+$0.05
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.245$1.02+$0.02
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4700.445$0.95−$0.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.5100.475$0.93−$0.07
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.5200.450$0.87−$0.13
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.6400.490$0.77−$0.23
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5360.000$0.00−$2.78
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$2.89
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance · Olympique Lyonnais0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 20:40Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.64$1.00
09-26 20:37Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-26 20:35Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-26 20:34Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-26 20:32Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-26 20:32Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-26 20:26Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-26 20:23Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-15 23:59Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-15 23:57Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-15 23:49Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-14 13:12Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-14 13:07Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-14 13:07Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-14 13:07Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5099998215$1.00