officelady25
0x45e3c7a63a524a3981237398656d262658ef9eaf
- Realised P&L
- $-299.58
- Volume
- $85.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $56.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.995 | 0.992 | $28.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $14.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.987 | 0.997 | $11.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.960 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.20at 0.789Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.15at 0.951Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.02at 0.570Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.82at 0.641Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.77at 0.870Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 13:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9949999878 | $29.00 |
| 09-21 02:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.00 |
| 09-21 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 08-02 08:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9909999844 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.80 |
| 07-27 02:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9969999269 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 07-05 03:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8199999851 | $1.10 |
| 07-05 03:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 03:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9919998909 | $8.00 |
| 07-05 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 02:41 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9859999984 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.00 |