macbook-pro
0x45e095e7d78a0a363bcb0a9b7318b7f9810dc3a2
- Realised P&L
- $-15.10
- Volume
- $277.67
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zendaya rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.315 | $6.30 | −$1.50 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 50%-55%? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.130 | $1.95 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.725 | $1.94 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.60at 0.810Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 10%-15%?
- +$-2.12at 0.181Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 20%-25%?
- +$-2.74at 0.405Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 30%-35%?
- +$-4.20at 0.780Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 15%-20%?
- +$-4.44at 0.820Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 30%-35%?