PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qiyana

0x45df5d2106f30b8824bad4541eaab96da5c45b27

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$16.32M
Markets traded
469
Open portfolio
$10.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded469
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$6.50$71.54
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$4.06$14.89
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$0.05$0.02
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.004$0.01$0.01
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.004$0.01$0.03
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.001$0.00$0.03
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 16:21Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.006$0.89
04-27 11:34Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.007$0.07
04-27 10:15Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.007$0.22
04-26 20:23Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.003$0.23
04-26 18:57Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.003$0.00
04-26 18:50Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.004$0.82
04-26 18:40Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.005$0.92
04-26 18:39Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.006$1.90
04-26 14:03Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.007$1.15
04-26 14:03Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.007$0.15
04-26 02:03Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.006$0.06
04-26 01:47Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.006$0.14
04-26 01:47Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.006$0.14
04-26 01:47Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.006$0.15
04-26 01:47Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.006$0.13