qiyana
0x45df5d2106f30b8824bad4541eaab96da5c45b27
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $16.32M
- Markets traded
- 469
- Open portfolio
- $10.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded469
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $6.50 | −$71.54 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $4.06 | −$14.89 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.007 | $0.07 | −$0.00 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.02 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.03 |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.003 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$595.82at 0.035Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$541.03at 0.150Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$450.82at 0.003Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$257.26at 0.060Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
- +$178.08at 0.080Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 16:21 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.89 |
| 04-27 11:34 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.07 |
| 04-27 10:15 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.22 |
| 04-26 20:23 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 04-26 18:57 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 04-26 18:50 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.82 |
| 04-26 18:40 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.92 |
| 04-26 18:39 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.90 |
| 04-26 14:03 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.15 |
| 04-26 14:03 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.15 |
| 04-26 02:03 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 04-26 01:47 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.14 |
| 04-26 01:47 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.14 |
| 04-26 01:47 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.15 |
| 04-26 01:47 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.13 |