0x45dda3b3f62f1a46910a283fd42611cd8318b62b
0x45dda3b3f62f1a46910a283fd42611cd8318b62b
- Realised P&L
- $-138.18
- Volume
- $631.86
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $27.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC vs. Penn State · USC | 0.500 | 0.465 | $16.01 | −$1.21 |
| Spread: Alabama (-3.5) · Georgia | 0.710 | 0.510 | $11.74 | −$4.60 |
| Spread: BYU (-13.5) · Iowa State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.83 |
| Florida State vs. Louisville · Florida State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
| Villena: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Glinka · Abedallah Shelbayh | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.90 |
| Spread: Illinois (-3.5) · Illinois | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.65 |
| Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira · Tiago Pereira | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.89 |
| Set Handicap: Francesco Passaro (-1.5) vs Enrico Dalla Valle (+1.5) · Enrico Dalla Valle | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.10 |
| Jackson State vs. Grambling State · Jackson State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.99 |
| Richmond vs. Fordham · Richmond | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.83 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) · Florida State | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.15 |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) · Jets | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.88 |
| Palermo: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Francesco Passaro · Enrico Dalla Valle | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.95 |
| North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.15at 0.500Samsun: Bianca Andreescu vs Anna Blinkova
- +$19.37at 0.500UCLA vs. Oregon
- +$14.71at 0.500Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut
- +$13.80at 0.500Braga: Lukas Neumayer vs Max Alcala Gurri
- +$13.46at 0.500Texas A&M vs. Missouri
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:08 | Spread: Alabama (-3.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $16.34 |
| 10-10 23:34 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | SELL | 0.999 | $17.21 |
| 10-10 22:38 | Spread: Illinois (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5472593431 | $38.66 |
| 10-10 22:34 | UCLA vs. Oregon | SELL | 0.91 | $46.93 |
| 10-10 22:31 | Spread: Illinois (-3.5) | BUY | 0.74 | $21.99 |
| 10-10 22:29 | Texas vs. Oklahoma: O/U 48.5 | SELL | 0.83 | $22.78 |
| 10-10 22:23 | Richmond vs. Fordham | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 10-10 21:46 | 1H Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $36.97 |
| 10-10 21:46 | 1H Spread: Ole Miss (-4.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $24.46 |
| 10-10 21:40 | Texas vs. Oklahoma: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $19.49 |
| 10-10 21:38 | UCLA vs. Oregon | SELL | 0.47 | $20.70 |
| 10-10 19:52 | 1H Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $26.28 |
| 10-10 19:50 | Texas A&M vs. Missouri | SELL | 0.999 | $26.95 |
| 10-10 19:30 | 1H Spread: Ole Miss (-4.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $13.71 |
| 10-10 18:11 | South Carolina vs. Florida: O/U 61.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $13.78 |