0x45DBCC1a4F9a9b80d21BcBF1D576a055fa1451c
0x45dbcc1a4f9a9b80d21bcbf1d576a055fa1451c6
- Realised P&L
- $-28.3k
- Volume
- $707.8k
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $79.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$546.04at 0.477Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 24?
- +$381.69at 0.788Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7PM ET
- +$325.73at 0.442Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 2?
- +$323.47at 0.366Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?
- +$311.80at 0.701Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 15:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 11:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 07:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.53 |
| 09-29 07:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.52 | $98.22 |
| 09-29 06:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.48 | $72.72 |
| 09-28 12:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 12:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.49 | $71.08 |
| 09-28 12:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.6893106882 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 23:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.647 | $312.84 |
| 09-23 19:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.6204431527 | $300.00 |
| 09-23 16:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.5481179114 | $41.47 |
| 09-23 16:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.5669828156 | $42.89 |
| 09-23 16:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.5591801058 | $84.60 |
| 09-23 16:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.4537297244 | $45.76 |