cloneThis
0x45d407e732fbf5fad6d61deed8ae5b51caf7eb47
- Realised P&L
- $-4.91
- Volume
- $415.78
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $2.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $1.30 on October 8? · No | 0.783 | 0.977 | $2.49 | +$0.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.91at 0.516Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3AM ET
- +$2.67at 0.537Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET
- +$1.89at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET
- +$1.05at 0.497Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET
- +$1.01at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 18:22 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9719999806 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:53 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 on October 8? | BUY | 0.6559998793 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 16:17 | Solana Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:02 | XRP Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:02 | Solana Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:17 | XRP Up or Down - October 7, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:06 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 on October 7? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:01 | Solana Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |