PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45d35A74147E985f9b3e6AF8E6c96C5f8BB08A84-1765549074628

0x45d35a74147e985f9b3e6af8e6c96c5f8bb08a84

Realised P&L
$8.81
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
272
Open portfolio
$28.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded272
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28? · Yes0.9991.000$28.78+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:16Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.998999993$28.77
09-27 09:13Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27?BUY0.998999992$28.74
09-26 01:17Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?BUY0.9989999913$28.72
09-24 09:15Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.9989999902$28.69
09-23 10:25Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23?BUY0.9989999892$28.66
09-22 09:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.9989999881$28.63
09-21 14:34Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?BUY0.999$28.61
09-20 06:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?BUY0.9909999998$28.36
09-19 09:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.999$28.33
09-18 07:54Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.9989999767$28.31
09-17 04:17Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?BUY0.998$28.25
09-16 09:07Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?BUY0.9989999738$28.23
09-15 10:27Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?BUY0.9989999727$28.20
09-14 09:32Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 14?BUY0.9989999716$28.17
09-13 04:13Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13?BUY0.9985741397$28.14