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Traders

0x45cd7271b5b09f2f8cd307431ea462d57fa733d4

Realised P&L
$-34.18
Volume
$48.8k
Markets traded
669
Open portfolio
$41.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded669
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No0.7300.975$9.74+$2.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1400.825$8.25+$6.85
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.5690.844$7.76+$2.53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3620.195$4.33$3.72
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4270.315$4.30$1.52
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6300.745$3.80+$0.59
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8890.925$1.24+$0.05
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.645$0.96$0.22
Will Trump Airport become law this year? · Yes0.3080.034$0.79$6.40
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0270.003$0.11$0.89
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$0.10
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.90
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.1040.000$0.00$1.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5500.000$0.00$2.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 15:32Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999063$1.18
07-04 20:59Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6199998512$1.00
07-04 16:09Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?SELL0.024$0.07
07-04 16:08Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?SELL0.059$0.59
07-04 16:01Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?BUY0.0849999324$1.10
07-04 13:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.31
07-04 13:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.50
07-04 12:14Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3509998315$1.15
07-04 00:54Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-03 21:55Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899998422$1.18
07-03 19:40Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.74$1.11
07-03 19:39Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.74$3.70
07-03 19:38Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.73$3.65
07-03 18:43Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.209999874$1.15
07-03 18:40Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2$1.15
Trader 0x45cd…33d4 · PolyBot Pro