0x45cd7271b5b09f2f8cd307431ea462d57fa733d4
- Realised P&L
- $-34.18
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 669
- Open portfolio
- $41.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded669
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.81at 0.019Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
- +$14.85at 0.349Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$11.36at 0.360Magic vs. Lakers
- +$8.56at 0.340Heat vs. Bucks
- +$8.40at 0.247Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 15:32 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999063 | $1.18 |
| 07-04 20:59 | Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 16:09 | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.07 |
| 07-04 16:08 | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | SELL | 0.059 | $0.59 |
| 07-04 16:01 | Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.0849999324 | $1.10 |
| 07-04 13:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.31 |
| 07-04 13:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 07-04 12:14 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3509998315 | $1.15 |
| 07-04 00:54 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 21:55 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998422 | $1.18 |
| 07-03 19:40 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.11 |
| 07-03 19:39 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 07-03 19:38 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 07-03 18:43 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.209999874 | $1.15 |
| 07-03 18:40 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2 | $1.15 |