rtyuuhgv
0x45cb84e66db0754e8582c722da35d4cfd7c3a93b
- Realised P&L
- $-57.40
- Volume
- $100.3k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $97.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $65.00 | +$0.20 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.205 | $32.32 | −$71.52 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.59at 0.749Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?
- +$11.08at 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$7.17at 0.010Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$7.09at 0.005Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$7.02at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 17:37 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $64.81 |
| 05-11 16:50 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $51.84 |
| 05-11 16:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $132.60 |
| 05-11 16:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $332.00 |
| 05-11 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 05-11 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 15:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 04-28 15:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.93 |
| 04-28 15:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $332.67 |
| 04-17 16:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $52.50 |
| 04-10 17:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.90 |
| 04-10 17:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.89 |
| 04-10 17:20 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $54.62 |
| 03-26 06:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 03-26 06:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.94 |