0x45Ca352f610C0e97B738BACA254BEf198ebcCA52-1776198016335
0x45ca352f610c0e97b738baca254bef198ebcca52
- Realised P&L
- $-2.83
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.51at 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.34at 0.011Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.78at 0.383Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$2.03at 0.505Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$1.98at 0.337Celtics vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 20:47 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.04 |
| 06-11 13:20 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:19 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.36 |
| 05-22 16:48 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3039998516 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 22:48 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 23:26 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 12:32 | NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.05 | $1.21 |
| 05-06 00:58 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 00:57 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 10:52 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0266662212 | $7.78 |
| 05-03 16:05 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999343 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 16:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1529998871 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 15:40 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 15:38 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 02:16 | Celtics vs. 76ers | SELL | 0.991 | $3.00 |