PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fi412

0x45c3355ac134bcd4caccc726e1c59814e8d042f9

Realised P&L
$-61.1k
Volume
$1.67M
Markets traded
1,077
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,077
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8230.808$1.9k−$33.25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.4600.430$373.52−$26.48
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.8900.895$201.12+$1.12
Predators vs. Blues · Predators0.4900.000$0.00−$50.00
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00−$50.00
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs0.4700.000$0.00−$45.00
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5 · Over0.6300.000$0.00−$75.00
Predators vs. Kraken · Predators0.5200.000$0.00−$75.00
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00−$100.00
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) · Rockets0.5700.000$0.00−$150.00
Valorant: Nova Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) · Nova Esports0.3480.000$0.00−$10.00
Ducks vs. Islanders · Ducks0.4500.000$0.00−$35.00
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5 · Over0.5080.000$0.00−$80.00
Chiefs vs. Titans · Chiefs0.5800.000$0.00−$100.00
Golden Knights vs. Flyers · Flyers0.4300.000$0.00−$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 12:26Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.7969243728$98.00
10-31 06:07Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8899999965$100.00
10-31 06:07Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8080707179$100.00
10-31 06:06Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8899999965$100.00
10-31 01:23Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.4602455539$100.00
10-31 01:22Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.808999999$100.00
10-31 01:21Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8089191067$100.00
10-31 01:20Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8089191067$100.00
10-31 01:20Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.4540967409$100.00
10-31 01:18Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.808393704$100.00
10-31 01:18Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8083533162$100.00
10-30 07:53Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8395242689$150.00
10-30 02:04Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.4845631999$100.00
10-30 01:58Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8303894974$100.00
10-30 01:57Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8309999988$100.00