0x45c150651a47d04dbefd6be58e482389a20335d5
0x45c150651a47d04dbefd6be58e482389a20335d5
- Realised P&L
- $0.05
- Volume
- $109.89
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $4.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.655 | $2.18 | +$1.18 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.971 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.380 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.135 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.250 | 0.037 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.75at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:14 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:12 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:12 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:29 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:33 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:33 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:58 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:54 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:10 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 14? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 20:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:04 | Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |