0x45c0dd299fc9d7155b468cfbe7f0f409d1e0c845
0x45c0dd299fc9d7155b468cfbe7f0f409d1e0c845
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $72.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.508Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$2.1kat 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$1.8kat 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.181LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 22:54 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $6.0k |
| 10-16 22:54 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | SELL | 0.2544950669 | $3.4k |
| 10-16 22:54 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | SELL | 0.286638855 | $1.4k |
| 10-16 21:39 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4765693196 | $2.9k |
| 10-16 21:00 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BUY | 0.1532934524 | $474.45 |
| 10-16 21:00 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BUY | 0.1699259889 | $2.5k |
| 10-16 20:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.1825105491 | $140.00 |
| 10-16 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.3397563249 | $594.11 |
| 10-16 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.4908791487 | $930.00 |
| 10-16 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.4360941135 | $460.00 |
| 10-16 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.9831801787 | $4.1k |
| 10-16 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.449389336 | $800.00 |
| 10-16 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5656622635 | $1.6k |
| 10-16 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3431216931 | $389.10 |
| 10-16 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3207031745 | $440.16 |