Frenchee
0x45bf83b276d745de66cd1ca16a1c3484956dc4a0
- Realised P&L
- $-8.20
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $385.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.945 | $191.25 | +$21.25 |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.730 | 0.895 | $168.93 | +$31.11 |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.885 | $25.65 | +$5.65 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.80at 0.840Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$32.77at 0.060Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$21.29at 0.893Macron out by June 30, 2026?
- +$19.83at 0.600Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$13.20at 0.025Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 08:03 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4299999853 | $7.00 |
| 05-18 02:26 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $20.10 |
| 05-17 14:58 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $8.05 |
| 05-10 06:27 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7868622728 | $44.92 |
| 05-09 05:13 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 05-06 17:13 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 05-06 17:11 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399999981 | $35.00 |
| 05-05 08:41 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 04-27 03:44 | Lakers vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 04-27 03:41 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 04-27 02:38 | Lakers vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.37 | $36.18 |
| 04-27 02:27 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.26 | $24.85 |
| 04-25 04:13 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.042 | $25.20 |
| 04-23 16:37 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.025 | $20.00 |
| 04-20 16:47 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999996 | $90.00 |