PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Frenchee

0x45bf83b276d745de66cd1ca16a1c3484956dc4a0

Realised P&L
$-8.20
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$385.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$191.25+$21.25
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7300.895$168.93+$31.11
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6900.885$25.65+$5.65
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 08:03Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4299999853$7.00
05-18 02:26Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.67$20.10
05-17 14:58Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.63$8.05
05-10 06:27Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7868622728$44.92
05-09 05:13Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.21$63.00
05-06 17:13Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
05-06 17:11Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8399999981$35.00
05-05 08:41Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.79$31.60
04-27 03:44Lakers vs. RocketsSELL0.002$0.20
04-27 03:41Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.04$8.00
04-27 02:38Lakers vs. RocketsSELL0.37$36.18
04-27 02:27Lakers vs. RocketsBUY0.26$24.85
04-25 04:13Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.042$25.20
04-23 16:37Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.025$20.00
04-20 16:47Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.8399999996$90.00