SparkyMatrix
0x45bf7deca8c8090aba342775f56c934ac6c9a909
- Realised P&L
- $-56.23
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $455.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.64at 0.329Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$4.45at 0.703Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 4?
- +$3.45at 0.310Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$2.90at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 4?
- +$2.45at 0.755Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 06:34 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.75 |
| 10-05 06:22 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 05:11 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 05:10 | Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-05 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 04:52 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 00:27 | Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.19 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.577 | $4.84 |
| 10-05 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.93 |
| 10-04 23:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-04 23:05 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-04 23:05 | Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 170T tokens the week of September 28? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 10-04 23:05 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.18 |