linsong-6
0x45b7a9f1616f293eb2aca4fb906ef5cbe763967d
- Realised P&L
- $-156.51
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $14.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.60at 0.028Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?
- +$9.60at 0.020Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$9.40at 0.030Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16?
- +$8.74at 0.041LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?
- +$2.40at 0.880Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:12 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | SELL | 0.0055 | $0.11 |
| 09-24 00:54 | Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 23? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.20 |
| 09-24 00:54 | Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21? | SELL | 0.941 | $18.82 |
| 09-23 12:30 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 23? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 09-23 10:46 | Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 23? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-23 10:45 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.924 | $18.48 |
| 09-23 07:27 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 23? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-22 13:23 | Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-22 12:09 | Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-22 12:04 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-22 12:04 | Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-22 08:39 | Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-22 08:38 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.20 |
| 09-19 13:46 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.68 |
| 09-19 13:45 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.76 |