nanocapita
0x45b4c53cfa91ecfac49c85c1ef804ad9536096c5
- Realised P&L
- $-67.16
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $45.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.16at 0.380Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
- +$8.04at 0.382Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$5.82at 0.552Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
- +$5.48at 0.432Bandirmaspor vs. Sivasspor: O/U 1.5
- +$4.97at 0.502Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 06:47 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.66 |
| 10-18 06:47 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.48 |
| 10-18 06:26 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? | BUY | 0.5899999762 | $3.72 |
| 10-18 06:18 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.5199999551 | $3.71 |
| 10-17 22:41 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599999497 | $3.84 |
| 10-17 22:30 | Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.69 |
| 10-17 21:21 | Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4299999841 | $4.05 |
| 10-17 06:56 | UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Cody Chovancek (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5399999919 | $3.99 |
| 10-17 06:55 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.569999941 | $4.06 |
| 10-17 04:42 | Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.15 |
| 10-17 01:16 | Notre Dame vs. BYU | BUY | 0.7899999827 | $4.10 |
| 10-17 01:16 | Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) | BUY | 0.6599999534 | $3.40 |
| 10-17 00:39 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.8499998437 | $4.35 |
| 10-16 17:13 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-16 14:03 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |