PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45B302D6A58F594a775677DfaAB0A71E8957aF31-1776308460011

0x45b302d6a58f594a775677dfaab0a71e8957af31

Realised P&L
$-247.63
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
409
Open portfolio
$21.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded409
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20? · Yes0.3460.180$21.30−$19.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Up0.2750.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.3260.000$0.00−$1.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Up0.2020.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Down0.2120.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.2430.000$0.00−$8.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No0.3230.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.3060.000$0.00−$2.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:36Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.299999994$10.00
10-20 08:36Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-20 08:35Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
10-20 07:07Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.4059405832$10.00
10-20 07:06Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.3966942149$6.00
10-20 07:00Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.4019607646$5.00
10-20 06:56XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.32$3.20
10-20 06:51XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.3946977731$7.44
10-20 06:36XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSELL0.1882150859$2.52
10-20 06:35XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.3732809386$5.00
10-20 06:30XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.33$4.71
10-20 06:26XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSELL0.5468798956$8.38
10-20 06:26XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.3262955729$5.00
10-20 05:55XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSELL0.4093873518$8.29
10-20 05:55XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.2470355731$5.00