shgrkybo8
0x45accedd331e75b16dda012189129a33d6b9d2bb
- Realised P&L
- $-583.44
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $226.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.051 | $117.05 | −$132.95 |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.061 | $109.82 | −$140.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.25at 0.104Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.63at 0.200Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
- +$0.40at 0.230Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?
- +$0.05at 0.120FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- +$0.02at 0.111Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:26 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | SELL | 0.0932868138 | $11.03 |
| 08-03 00:53 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | SELL | 0.094142036 | $92.05 |
| 08-02 23:27 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.1704666667 | $25.57 |
| 08-02 23:07 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.1704151611 | $36.13 |
| 08-02 14:36 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.16 | $11.05 |
| 08-02 13:00 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.88 |
| 08-01 22:58 | Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $23.61 |
| 08-01 17:58 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $24.00 |
| 08-01 14:01 | Will Milly Alcock be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.09 | $11.07 |
| 08-01 13:17 | Will Milly Alcock be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:58 | Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.18 | $72.70 |
| 08-01 10:35 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $16.00 |
| 08-01 00:27 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.2 | $9.52 |
| 07-31 14:34 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.1938965592 | $143.81 |
| 07-31 04:58 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? | SELL | 0.1504349944 | $129.69 |