shgrkybo8
0x45accedd331e75b16dda012189129a33d6b9d2bb
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $243.6k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $158.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.57at 0.104Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
- +$0.03at 0.120FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- +$0.00at 0.140Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.190Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
- +$-0.00at 0.133Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:40 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $87.50 |
| 09-18 01:28 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.131 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | SELL | 0.1 | $19.53 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 22:05 | Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-17 21:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 0%-15%? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.87 |
| 09-17 15:34 | Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-17 13:28 | Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.015 | $3.19 |
| 09-17 09:53 | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-17 08:27 | Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.13 | $80.36 |
| 09-17 07:04 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $69.43 |
| 09-16 22:35 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 09-16 22:04 | Will Betis finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.44 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Will Sevilla finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? | SELL | 0.028 | $1.12 |
| 09-16 21:47 | Will Sevilla finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? | SELL | 0.031225 | $3.12 |