0x45accd0b75373fa68483a3ef042dd2a7257c0fce
- Realised P&L
- $70.81
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $30.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.546 | 0.535 | $24.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.775 | $6.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.04at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$24.22at 0.220Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$22.31at 0.515Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?
- +$21.33at 0.679Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$17.92at 0.407Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:31 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 17:32 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.5 | $23.00 |
| 09-17 17:27 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2557376881 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 21:19 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:48 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9299999984 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 05:15 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.7099999884 | $11.00 |
| 09-15 21:13 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0939999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 21:13 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.82 |
| 09-15 20:10 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.9699999989 | $9.00 |
| 09-15 20:01 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.6699999953 | $9.94 |
| 09-15 20:00 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-14 04:23 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 04:23 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 04:22 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.601 | $24.88 |