PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smxnq

0x45a666b85580bec59c648aa7b601dceb8aa8315a

Realised P&L
$-55.67
Volume
$631.31
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$73.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1780.310$73.26+$31.10
Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$4.81
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.42
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 19:32Will Greece win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.1699999979$4.81
10-04 19:32Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$5.28
10-03 17:58Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.0229999998$1.42
10-03 17:57Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$0.89
09-30 20:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.219999978$2.00
09-30 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.8599997764$2.00
09-30 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3PM ETSELL0.001$0.05
09-30 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3PM ETBUY0.299999994$5.00
09-30 19:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3PM ETBUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-30 19:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3PM ETBUY0.3529411682$5.00
09-30 19:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.4293893072$25.00
09-30 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.01$0.23
09-30 19:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-30 19:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETSELL0.99$12.38
09-30 19:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.4$5.00