alvaropedro156
0x45a2e2cd9c46a7f73f6b2660e25584870f36c17b
- Realised P&L
- $-390.99
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $545.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 3 - 2 US Sassuolo Calcio? · No | 0.890 | 0.998 | $156.99 | +$16.99 |
| Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 1 1. FC Köln? · No | 0.946 | 1.000 | $147.90 | +$7.92 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16? · No | 0.740 | 0.966 | $91.33 | +$21.33 |
| Exact Score: Dinamo 1948 0 - 1 FC Botoşani? · No | 0.936 | 1.000 | $74.66 | +$4.76 |
| Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 0 - 1 Shelbourne FC? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $74.42 | +$4.43 |
| Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 0 - 1 Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC? · No | 0.959 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Exact Score: Hammarby IF 0 - 1 Djurgardens IF? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.26 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.75at 0.702Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$35.64at 0.819Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 0 Crystal Palace FC?
- +$33.16at 0.828Exact Score: LASK Linz 0 - 4 Liverpool FC?
- +$23.18at 0.896Exact Score: Kyōto Sanga FC 1 - 0 FC Machida Zelvia?
- +$22.88at 0.875Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 19:07 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.74 | $70.00 |
| 10-16 18:50 | Exact Score: Helmond Sport 1 - 0 NAC Breda? | SELL | 0.996 | $74.40 |
| 10-16 18:50 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.76 | $134.68 |
| 10-16 18:39 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.79 | $140.00 |
| 10-16 18:35 | Exact Score: Dinamo 1948 0 - 1 FC Botoşani? | BUY | 0.9354239631 | $64.96 |
| 10-16 18:32 | Exact Score: Dinamo 1948 0 - 1 FC Botoşani? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.94 |
| 10-16 16:47 | Exact Score: FC Energie Cottbus 1 - 0 1. FC Nürnberg? | BUY | 0.949 | $69.77 |
| 10-15 20:17 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.3404815564 | $70.70 |
| 10-15 20:12 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.88 | $194.93 |
| 10-15 19:27 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.49 | $69.20 |
| 10-15 19:26 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.5 | $64.00 |
| 10-15 19:21 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.79 | $35.00 |
| 10-15 19:21 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.79 | $140.00 |
| 10-15 19:09 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.83 | $17.00 |
| 10-15 19:08 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.84 | $109.20 |