PolyBot

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Traders

Naortsa

0x45a1af1be452d7ebd7c51a1c3d92c4d6570d6367

Realised P&L
$-71.71
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$164.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.3691.000$162.53+$102.53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.365$1.30+$0.30
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.034$0.24−$0.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.0060.000$0.00−$2.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.0680.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 3 Sevilla FC? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Hapoel Haifa FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.0570.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:30Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4199999966$50.00
11-01 19:09Exact Score: Maccabi Petah Tikva FC 2 - 3 Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC?BUY0.1439999885$1.00
11-01 18:55Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
11-01 18:54Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.47$2.47
11-01 18:37Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
11-01 18:22Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.08$1.00
10-28 20:11Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?SELL0.45$8.65
10-28 20:08Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-27 23:26Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.2349999972$10.00
10-27 21:15Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0517412932$5.00
10-27 21:14Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.62$4.13
10-26 20:39Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?BUY0.0599999988$2.00
10-25 21:50Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.699999993$20.00
10-25 19:33Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.25$5.00
10-25 19:32FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.4$5.00