PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dggrfd4

0x4596bf56c1e5d8e811e71d6ba0eccc4b996312b1

Realised P&L
$46.36
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$0.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 10? · Yes0.5000.001$0.01−$14.09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.001$0.01−$14.09
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 7.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$26.50
Will Meta (META) close above $550 on June 22? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$22.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 09:48Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on September 6?BUY0.998$2.5k
07-06 14:58Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 7?BUY0.98$8.23
07-02 14:01Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 3?BUY0.988$15.41
06-25 13:16Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)BUY0.991$18.54
06-11 01:11Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5BUY0.9$6.66
06-06 02:23Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 8?BUY0.96$11.96
05-30 04:58Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 31?BUY0.985$6.89
05-22 00:50Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on May 22?BUY0.9$18.90
05-14 12:53Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?BUY0.94$10.34
05-11 01:40Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 11?BUY0.951$17.42
04-13 07:35Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.988$3.5k
04-13 07:33Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.988$6.9k