ZamamiTurtle
0x45958786e53f002f812f08469f4d2f1d43288f5d
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $67.2k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.977 | $1.0k | −$3.10 |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.608 | 0.783 | $709.80 | +$158.93 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.963 | $678.91 | +$12.86 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? · No | 0.941 | 0.949 | $493.22 | +$3.82 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? · No | 0.961 | 0.978 | $391.20 | +$6.80 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? · No | 0.838 | 0.762 | $381.25 | −$37.75 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.945 | 0.945 | $55.76 | +$0.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.944 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.14at 0.943Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$146.41at 0.887US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
- +$87.83at 0.991Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$79.66at 0.912Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
- +$79.00at 0.920Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.95 | $46.56 |
| 11-01 10:53 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.945 | $18.90 |
| 11-01 09:28 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.0k |
| 10-31 02:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $270.76 |
| 10-30 10:53 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | BUY | 0.8986042296 | $29.74 |
| 10-30 10:53 | Will Solana reach $120 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $396.00 |
| 10-30 10:52 | Will Solana reach $120 in October? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.75 |
| 10-30 10:46 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $31.34 |
| 10-30 10:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $145.57 |
| 10-30 09:01 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.88 |
| 10-30 08:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.972927 | $486.46 |
| 10-28 14:59 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.979 | $1.3k |
| 10-28 14:59 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.978 | $177.02 |
| 10-28 14:58 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.978 | $199.51 |
| 10-28 14:58 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.978 | $380.44 |