PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weatherBoy1337

0x458e7bd13665ba82e52f7f77341ed8c8c13d8034

Realised P&L
$392.11
Volume
$34.2k
Markets traded
1,332
Open portfolio
$61.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,332
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on September 18? · No0.7700.950$6.17+$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? · No0.7900.915$5.79+$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? · No0.7400.815$5.51+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? · No0.7900.865$5.47+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? · No0.7400.785$5.30+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 20? · No0.7000.730$5.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 19? · No0.7800.790$5.06+$0.06
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on September 20? · No0.8000.795$4.97$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20? · No0.8100.790$4.88$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 19? · No0.7610.705$4.63$0.37
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 20? · No0.8000.700$4.38$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? · No0.7400.575$3.89$1.11
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on September 18? · No0.7200.015$0.10$4.90
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22? · No0.7000.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15? · No0.6700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 23:33Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.8099999352$5.00
09-18 22:38Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 20?BUY0.699999972$5.00
09-18 21:47Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.8$5.00
09-18 18:24Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?SELL0.99$6.77
09-18 15:03Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-18 14:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 18?SELL0.99$6.03
09-18 14:02Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.99$6.77
09-18 12:54Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
09-18 12:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 18?SELL0.99$6.44
09-18 10:49Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.8$5.00
09-18 10:35Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-18 10:15Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-18 08:53Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 18?SELL0.99$6.26
09-18 08:52Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.99$6.35
09-18 01:28Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?BUY0.7399999734$5.00