authentic0603
0x458d9f092f6fc51470d33f17f073b5602f3e2dc0
- Realised P&L
- $-114.92
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $2.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 21? · Down | 0.490 | 0.530 | $2.93 | +$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.67at 0.720Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 4?
- +$40.28at 0.251Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 8?
- +$36.44at 0.207Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 18?
- +$32.58at 0.428Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 1?
- +$27.47at 0.655Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:05 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.71 |
| 09-18 13:33 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.51 |
| 09-17 23:09 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.60 |
| 09-17 22:00 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.59 |
| 09-16 21:43 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.61 |
| 09-15 18:04 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.93 |
| 09-15 12:57 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.64 |
| 09-14 13:51 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.18 |
| 09-14 13:49 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.02 |
| 09-14 13:39 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.08 |
| 09-11 19:38 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 11? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-11 15:32 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.79 |
| 09-10 19:29 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 10? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-09 19:48 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 9? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.97 |
| 09-09 16:28 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 9? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.04 |