0x458d48ac1843ccabc680eff6073b45011671e4be
- Realised P&L
- $0.89
- Volume
- $60.42
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $19.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.440 | 0.995 | $6.78 | +$3.78 |
| Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.620 | 0.995 | $4.81 | +$1.81 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.500 | $4.41 | +$1.41 |
| DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.500 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.68at 0.535Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown
- +$1.47at 0.414Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown
- +$1.29at 0.704Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 2.5
- +$0.23at 0.812Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5
- +$-1.02at 0.743Drake Maye: Passing Yards O/U 199.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:37 | DJ Moore: Receptions O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:37 | Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:37 | Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:36 | Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 12:43 | Jaylen Waddle: Receptions O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 12:43 | Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 12:42 | Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 12:42 | Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 09-10 13:33 | Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:53 | Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:52 | Drake Maye: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:52 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:51 | A.J. Brown: Receptions O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.7009458736 | $3.99 |