duginchan
0x458d110bfc5dca5a138d2bfe1054914e50a3f6bc
- Realised P&L
- $17.10
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $234.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.943 | $56.55 | −$2.19 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.981 | $45.96 | +$0.82 |
| Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.970 | 0.952 | $45.12 | −$0.88 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-04 House seat? · No | 0.972 | 0.983 | $44.87 | +$0.48 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.945 | 0.855 | $41.90 | −$4.41 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.948Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$2.24at 0.955Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?
- +$1.77at 0.962Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?
- +$1.52at 0.975Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.43at 0.965Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 10:35 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 10:58 | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 06:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May? | BUY | 0.952 | $47.60 |
| 04-15 06:58 | Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $21.00 |