88888stupidmoney
0x458c5bfd9bff538f98216a67b156832e7486c504
- Realised P&L
- $642.74
- Volume
- $4.74M
- Markets traded
- 4,625
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,625
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.33at 0.993Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
- +$51.52at 0.991Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$48.91at 0.930Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$48.23at 0.992Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$42.39at 0.992Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:21 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 08-05 12:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | SELL | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 08-05 09:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | SELL | 0.952 | $47.60 |
| 08-05 09:37 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? | SELL | 0.9921792 | $49.61 |
| 08-05 08:27 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | SELL | 0.994 | $49.70 |
| 08-05 04:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | SELL | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 08-05 04:19 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 08-05 01:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 08-04 21:33 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 08-04 12:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 08-04 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.9919642168 | $46.29 |
| 08-04 03:05 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.96 | $192.00 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.961 | $192.20 |
| 08-04 01:23 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.99 | $21.78 |
| 08-04 01:21 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.99 | $27.72 |