PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

88888stupidmoney

0x458c5bfd9bff538f98216a67b156832e7486c504

Realised P&L
$642.74
Volume
$4.74M
Markets traded
4,625
Open portfolio
$8.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,625
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9870.987$197.31$0.10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9790.961$192.21$3.60
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? · No0.9650.930$186.10$6.90
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9260.915$183.00$2.16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.865$173.00$1.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.9000.860$170.11$7.91
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.9300.825$165.00$21.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · No0.8500.765$153.00$17.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · No0.9440.955$143.25+$1.59
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.9250.931$93.15+$0.65
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? · No0.9200.890$88.33$3.03
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9951.000$49.98+$0.23
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9951.000$49.98+$0.23
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9951.000$49.98+$0.23
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No0.9951.000$49.98+$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 14:21Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?SELL0.99$49.50
08-05 12:07Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?SELL0.95$47.50
08-05 09:53Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?SELL0.952$47.60
08-05 09:37Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?SELL0.9921792$49.61
08-05 08:27Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?SELL0.994$49.70
08-05 04:32Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?SELL0.991$49.55
08-05 04:19Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?SELL0.99$49.50
08-05 01:51Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.992$49.60
08-04 21:33Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.96$48.00
08-04 12:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?SELL0.96$48.00
08-04 09:43Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.9919642168$46.29
08-04 03:05Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.96$192.00
08-04 02:49Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.961$192.20
08-04 01:23Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.99$21.78
08-04 01:21Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.99$27.72