0x458af141f5a9549f53ef28a0ee84ad61e21b3f8a
0x458af141f5a9549f53ef28a0ee84ad61e21b3f8a
- Realised P&L
- $-0.80
- Volume
- $205.27
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $3.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.730 | 0.735 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.745 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.480 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.315 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.27at 0.237S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$4.48at 0.268Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.269Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$3.04at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.55at 0.389Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:27 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:20 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:18 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:10 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 19:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7329999336 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 10:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999826 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 02:51 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999128 | $1.59 |
| 09-22 18:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.2299999826 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 22:08 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999479 | $1.59 |
| 09-19 23:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998568 | $1.54 |
| 09-19 07:08 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.59 |
| 09-18 18:33 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2299999826 | $1.59 |