PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45840edf9def4489310b1678df3186900e51d5bd

0x45840edf9def4489310b1678df3186900e51d5bd

Realised P&L
$-9.54
Volume
$161.93
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$5.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3260.644$1.98+$0.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.5101.000$1.96+$0.96
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.7850.956$1.22+$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 00:24Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7849998783$1.00
10-08 15:53Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3259999641$1.00
10-08 02:58Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-08 02:38Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-07 14:34Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 13:58SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-06 15:40Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.64$1.00
10-06 12:04Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-06 11:29Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-06 07:38Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 12:58Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$1.00
10-04 19:50Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 17:45Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-04 15:53Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-04 07:04Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5BUY0.649999805$1.00