ChristinaNeal6723
0x458258f45fe132105c451ad120c3534fcb6e7699
- Realised P&L
- $-776.90
- Volume
- $103.1k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $3.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.013 | $3.02 | −$84.34 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.80 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.48 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.96 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? · No | 0.811 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$308.18 |
| Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.35 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$167.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.00at 0.570Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
- +$90.38at 0.643Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$82.64at 0.750Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
- +$79.80at 0.500Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$64.31at 0.590Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 04:42 | Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $25.42 |
| 02-08 17:08 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $14.11 |
| 01-11 22:44 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $101.75 |
| 01-11 17:10 | Will the US strike Iran next? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.32 |
| 01-11 11:26 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.68 |
| 01-11 10:23 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $89.44 |
| 01-11 09:11 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $91.16 |
| 01-11 08:42 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.24 | $37.44 |
| 01-11 08:41 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.24 | $42.72 |
| 01-11 08:40 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.36 |
| 01-11 06:19 | Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? | SELL | 0.59 | $37.17 |
| 01-11 03:11 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $99.90 |
| 01-11 02:39 | Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.64 |
| 01-11 02:38 | Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.14 | $21.28 |
| 01-11 02:37 | Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.14 | $37.66 |