0x457e4880c23Ab09C1444ebc05A48E5699Cab72Dd-1779915862181
0x457e4880c23ab09c1444ebc05a48e5699cab72dd
- Realised P&L
- $102.54
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $4.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.37at 0.323Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11?
- +$147.61at 0.317Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 4?
- +$144.11at 0.339Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?
- +$138.62at 0.327Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 9?
- +$136.59at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.80 |
| 09-09 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.35 | $19.95 |
| 09-08 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.32 |
| 09-05 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 09-05 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.56 | $21.84 |
| 09-05 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.38 | $6.76 |
| 09-05 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.48 | $13.44 |
| 09-02 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-01 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.5583112249 | $27.44 |
| 08-31 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.41 | $28.70 |
| 08-28 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $17.36 |
| 08-28 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.66 |
| 08-27 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $14.00 |
| 08-25 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.24 |
| 08-25 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.38 | $20.14 |