0x457e4880c23Ab09C1444ebc05A48E5699Cab72Dd-1779915862181
0x457e4880c23ab09c1444ebc05a48e5699cab72dd
- Realised P&L
- $619.86
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $357.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.51at 0.323Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11?
- +$147.93at 0.315Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 4?
- +$144.11at 0.339Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?
- +$139.40at 0.323Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 9?
- +$136.78at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.48 | $49.44 |
| 08-03 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.44 | $51.48 |
| 08-03 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.46 | $60.72 |
| 07-31 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 07-27 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.56 | $37.52 |
| 07-27 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.46 |
| 07-18 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.42 | $17.22 |
| 07-17 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $29.20 |
| 07-16 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.46 | $37.32 |
| 07-15 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.42 | $43.26 |
| 07-15 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16? | BUY | 0.44 | $39.16 |
| 07-11 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.52 | $12.61 |
| 07-10 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.5514705882 | $42.00 |
| 07-09 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.92 |
| 07-09 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.52 |