PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4579c35768979ddf84ec2d6eaa20cd5bc5a8f2c7

Realised P&L
$0.91
Volume
$281.96
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$7.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.5001.000$4.00+$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes0.5100.505$1.98$0.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4100.115$0.56$1.44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5000.125$0.50$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:21Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-12 18:42Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-12 10:05Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-11 23:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-10 13:26Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099996829$1.50
09-09 00:36SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.5599999328$2.00
09-08 08:35Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-07 20:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7699998807$2.00
09-07 10:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5$2.00
09-03 20:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
09-03 12:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$2.00
09-03 03:39Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
09-02 17:29Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?BUY0.5$2.00
09-02 09:02Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?BUY0.76$2.00
09-01 23:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4099999446$2.00