blintizaebal
0x4578c1c39f03ae5855e65212fbe735309d0c8d09
- Realised P&L
- $-39.65
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $137.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat? · No | 0.952 | 0.991 | $48.12 | +$1.89 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.984 | $47.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No | 0.966 | 0.946 | $42.45 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.924Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.95at 0.981Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$0.81at 0.940Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.70at 0.950Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$0.58at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 13:34 | Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.965 | $48.25 |
| 04-10 13:09 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $19.84 |